“The world is rapidly moving towards a multipolar order. This is, in many ways, positive. It brings new opportunities for justice and balance in international relations. But multipolarity alone cannot guarantee peace.”— António Guterres, UN Secretary-General, 2023 Geopolitics: conflicts frozen In 2026, the major global conflicts will not end with decisive victories, but with truces…

To understand what is happening in the world today, we must start from a simple yet powerful idea: globalization is, above all, control of the seas. It is not just about trade, technology, or financial flows, but about the ability to ensure—or block—the free transit of goods and energy along the world’s major maritime routes.…